When people think of a future period, they intuitively assume that it will reflect the current rate of progress. Careful consideration of the historical pace of technological change shows that the rate of progress is continuously accelerating. It is human nature to adapt to the changing pace, so the intuitive view is that the pace [...]
Not so long ago when someone wanted to send a message, they hired a messenger. The messenger got on a horse and delivered the message personally. The message was on paper, parchment, a clay tablet, or whatever physical medium was prevalent at the time. This whole process seems wasteful now, but that’s because you and [...]
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